Chapter 22: Presented A Case Study In Creating Value 364990
Chapter 22 Presented A Case Study In Creating Value From Uncertainty
Chapter 22 presented a case study in creating value from uncertainty, and chapter 25 presented the use of efficient frontier analysis in SRM. Assume you are the project lead for the analysis team that uses Efficient Frontier Analysis to evaluate risks of the portfolio presented in chapter 22 & 25. How would you explain the results of the analysis to non-technical decision makers? What recommendation would you make, assuming the risk appetite presented in chapter 22 & 25? Provide a minimum of 2 references Proper APA Format (References & Citations)/No plagiarism
Paper For Above instruction
Efficient Frontier Analysis is a powerful tool used to evaluate the risk and return profile of a portfolio by illustrating optimal investment combinations. As the project lead, communicating these technical results to non-technical decision makers requires simplifying complex concepts into clear, relatable language that emphasizes practical implications. The core idea of the analysis is to identify portfolios that maximize expected return for a given level of risk or, conversely, minimize risk for a given level of expected return. These optimal portfolios form the "efficient frontier," representing the best trade-offs available.
When presenting the results, I would begin by explaining that the analysis maps out different possible portfolios. Some portfolios are riskier but offer higher returns, while others are safer but provide lower returns. The "efficient frontier" helps identify those portfolios that offer the best possible return for the acceptable level of risk. I would emphasize that choosing a portfolio depends on the organization’s risk appetite—the level of risk the company is willing to accept. This aligns with the risk preferences outlined in chapters 22 and 25.
To make this more tangible, I would use visual aids like graphs showing the efficient frontier curve, highlighting specific points that correspond to different risk levels. For example, a conservative point on the curve would represent a portfolio with lower risk and moderate returns, suitable for decision makers with low risk appetite. Conversely, a more aggressive point would depict higher risk but the possibility of higher gains, appealing to risk-tolerant stakeholders.
Based on the analysis and the risk appetite discussed, my recommendation would include selecting a portfolio that aligns with the organization's strategic goals and risk preferences. If the organization's risk tolerance is low, I would recommend choosing a portfolio closer to the lower end of the efficient frontier, balancing moderate risk with acceptable returns. If the organization is more risk-tolerant and aims for higher growth, selecting a portfolio towards the higher risk, higher return end of the frontier might be appropriate, understanding that it entails greater uncertainty.
Additionally, I would advise incorporating ongoing monitoring and flexibility into the portfolio strategy. Market conditions and risk factors evolve over time, and adjusting the portfolio accordingly ensures sustained alignment with organizational goals and risk appetite. This dynamic approach helps create value from uncertainty by not only selecting the optimal portfolios but also managing risk proactively.
In summary, explaining the efficient frontier analysis to decision-makers involves demystifying probability and risk concepts through visuals and relatable language, aligning portfolio choices with organizational risk appetite, and advocating for continuous review to manage uncertainty effectively. This approach helps the organization leverage risk for value creation, as illustrated in the case studies of chapters 22 and 25.
References
- Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.2307/2975974
- Sharpe, W. F., Alexander, G. J., & Bailey, J. V. (1999). Investments (6th ed.). Prentice Hall.
- Reilly, F. K., & Brown, K. C. (2012). Investment analysis and portfolio management (10th ed.). Cengage Learning.
- Elton, E. J., & Gruber, M. J. (1997). Modern portfolio theory, 1950 to date. Journal of Banking & Finance, 21(11-12), 1743-1759. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(97)00037-3
- Fama, E., & French, K. (2004). The capital asset pricing model: Theory and evidence. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(3), 25-46. https://doi.org/10.1257/0895330042162430