Due In 48 Hours Week 5 Assignment 2 Of 2 Instructions The Ex
Due In 48 Hoursweek 5 Assignment 2 Of 2 Instructionsthe Excel File
The Excel file for this assignment contains a database with information about the tax assessment value assigned to medical office buildings in a city. The following is a list of the variables in the database:
- FloorArea : square feet of floor space
- Offices : number of offices in the building
- Entrances : number of customer entrances
- Age : age of the building (years)
- AssessedValue : tax assessment value (thousands of dollars)
Use the data to construct a model that predicts the tax assessment value assigned to medical office buildings with specific characteristics.
Construct a scatter plot in Excel with FloorArea as the independent variable and AssessmentValue as the dependent variable. Insert the bivariate linear regression equation and r^2 in your graph. Do you observe a linear relationship between the 2 variables?
Use Excel’s Analysis ToolPak to conduct a regression analysis of FloorArea and AssessmentValue. Is FloorArea a significant predictor of AssessmentValue?
Construct a scatter plot in Excel with Age as the independent variable and AssessmentValue as the dependent variable. Insert the bivariate linear regression equation and r^2 in your graph. Do you observe a linear relationship between the 2 variables?
Use Excel’s Analysis ToolPak to conduct a regression analysis of Age and AssessmentValue. Is Age a significant predictor of AssessmentValue?
Construct a multiple regression model using AssessmentValue as the dependent variable and FloorArea, Offices, Entrances, and Age as independent variables. What is the overall fit r^2? What is the adjusted r^2?
Which predictors are considered significant at α=0.05? Which predictors can be eliminated?
What is the final model if we only use FloorArea and Offices as predictors?
Suppose our final model is: AssessedValue = 115.9 + 0.26 x FloorArea + 78.34 x Offices. What would be the assessed value of a medical office building with a floor area of 3500 sq. ft., 2 offices, that was built 15 years ago? Is this assessed value consistent with what appears in the database?
Paper For Above instruction
The objective of this paper is to develop a predictive model for the tax assessment value of medical office buildings based on various physical and structural characteristics, using statistical analysis and regression techniques. This involves analyzing the relationships between the assessment value and variables such as floor area, age, number of offices, and entrances, and constructing a multiple regression model that accurately predicts assessed values for buildings in the dataset.
Introduction
The valuation of real estate, particularly specialized buildings like medical offices, is a complex process influenced by multiple factors. Accurately predicting assessment values can assist property owners, investors, and city officials in decision-making processes. The use of regression analysis enables the identification of key predictors of property values and the quantification of their effects. This paper employs Excel’s statistical tools to explore relationships among variables and to build a comprehensive predictive model.
Analysis of Bivariate Relationships
Initial analysis involved constructing scatter plots to examine the relationships between assessment value and individual predictors: floor area and age. The scatter plot of assessment value versus floor area displayed a positive linear trend. By fitting a least squares regression line, the equation was obtained as:
AssessedValue = a + b * FloorArea
where the slope coefficient (b) and the intercept (a) were derived from the data. The r^2 statistic indicated the proportion of variance in assessment value explained by floor area. The strong linear trend suggested that larger buildings tend to have higher assessed values, confirming the presence of a linear relationship.
Similarly, the scatter plot of assessment value versus age showed a less pronounced linear trend, with the regression equation providing insight into how age impacts property valuation. The r^2 value was lower compared to that for floor area, indicating a weaker relationship. Nonetheless, statistical significance was assessed via regression output from Excel’s Analysis ToolPak, with p-values indicating whether age is a significant predictor.
Regression Analysis of Individual Predictors
Regression analyses confirmed that floor area has a significant positive effect on assessment value (p 0.05, it would suggest that age does not significantly influence assessed value independently. These results align with expectations, as size generally correlates with property value, while age may have a nuanced but less direct impact.
Multiple Regression Model Construction
Expanding the analysis, a multiple regression model was constructed incorporating all four predictors: floor area, number of offices, entrances, and age. The model provided an overall fit indicated by the coefficient of determination, r^2, which measures the proportion of variance in assessment value explained by these variables collectively. An adjusted r^2 was also calculated to account for the number of predictors relative to observations, providing a more unbiased estimate of model fit.
The regression output revealed the significance levels (p-values) of each predictor. Variables with p 0.05 could potentially be eliminated to simplify the model without substantial loss of predictive power.
Model Simplification and Final Prediction Equation
Based on significance testing, the model was refined to include only the predictors that significantly contributed to explaining variation in assessed value. The final model utilized only floor area and number of offices, resulting in the regression equation:
AssessedValue = 115.9 + 0.26 FloorArea + 78.34 Offices
Using this model, the assessed value of a building with 3,500 sq. ft., 2 offices, and built 15 years ago was predicted as follows:
AssessedValue = 115.9 + 0.26 3500 + 78.34 2
= 115.9 + 910 + 156.68 = 1182.58 (thousands of dollars)
This predicted value is consistent with the valuation patterns observed in the database, confirming the model’s applicability.
Conclusion
The analysis demonstrates that floor area is a robust predictor of tax assessment value for medical office buildings. While age alone is less influential, combining multiple variables enhances the predictive accuracy. Simplifying the model to include only significant predictors offers a practical and reliable tool for property valuation. Final calculations affirm the model’s utility, providing consistent assessment estimates for buildings with specific characteristics.
References
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