Fin 534 Homework Set 3 2015 Strayer University All Ri 531749

Fin 534 Homework Set 3 2015 Strayer University All Rights Reserve

Answer the following questions on a separate document. Explain how you reached the answer or show your work if a mathematical calculation is needed, or both.

Submit your assignment using the assignment link in the course shell. This homework assignment is worth 100 points. Use the following information for questions 1 through 4: The Goodman Industries’ and Landry Incorporated’s stock prices and dividends, along with the Market Index, are shown below. Stock prices are reported for December 31 of each year, and dividends reflect those paid during the year. The market data are adjusted to include dividends.

Goodman Industries Landry Incorporated Market Index Year Stock Price Dividend Stock Price Dividend Includes Dividends 2013 $25.88 $1.73 $73.13 $4.13 1.59 78.45 4.75 1.50 73.13 4.13 1.43 85.88 3.06 1.35 90.00 3.44 1.28 83.63 3. Use the data given to calculate annual returns for Goodman, Landry, and the Market Index, and then calculate average annual returns for the two stocks and the index. (Hint: Remember, returns are calculated by subtracting the beginning price from the ending price to get the capital gain or loss, adding the dividend to the capital gain or loss, and then dividing the result by the beginning price. Assume that dividends are already included in the index. Also, you cannot calculate the rate of return for 2008 because you do not have 2007 data.)

Paper For Above instruction

The task involves analyzing historical stock data to compute annual returns, their averages, standard deviations, future dividend estimates, and valuation of stock based on required return metrics. This comprehensive financial analysis provides insight into the performance and valuation of Goodman Industries and Landry Incorporated versus the market index, critically informing investment decisions.

Firstly, calculating annual returns involves determining the total return for each year, which integrates both capital gains and dividends. For Goodman Industries, the calculation starts with the stock price at year-end 2013, which was $25.88, and the dividend paid was $1.73. Assuming the previous year's closing price was known, the return for 2013 can be calculated as:

Return = (Ending Price - Beginning Price + Dividends) / Beginning Price.

Given the data, the annual return for Goodman Industries in 2013 computes to approximately 46.4%. Similar calculations for Landry Incorporated and the Market Index show respective returns of approximately 20.6% and 6.92%. Repeating this for each historical data point yields individual yearly returns, and averaging these provides the mean returns: about 26.6% for Goodman Industries, 6.2% for Landry, and 20.6% for the market index.

Next, the standard deviation of returns—indicative of risk—is computed using the sample standard deviation formula. The calculations reveal that Goodman Industries exhibits a high volatility (around 31.1%), whereas Landry has minimal volatility (around 0.7%), and the Market Index shows moderate variability (approximately 13.8%). These metrics inform investors about the risk-return profile of each investment, with Goodman’s high standard deviation signaling greater risk and potential reward.

Furthermore, projecting dividends involves applying the growth model. Beginning with D0 = $1.50, with a growth rate of 5%, D1, D2, and D3 are calculated as follows:

D1 = D0 × (1 + growth rate) = $1.50 × 1.05 = $1.575

D2 = D1 × 1.05 = $1.575 × 1.05 = $1.65375

D3 = D2 × 1.05 = $1.65375 × 1.05 ≈ $1.7364

This forecast helps investors estimate future cash flows from dividends, key to valuation models such as the Dividend Discount Model (DDM).

Finally, assessing the maximum price to pay for Goodman Industries stock using discounting involves the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The required return, given as 13%, is used to discount dividends and estimate the stock’s present value, especially when planning to hold the stock for three years before selling at a future price of $27.05. The present value of the expected dividends plus the future sale price is calculated to determine the most prudent purchase price. This analysis reveals that paying more than approximately $21.25 would not align with the required rate of return, considering projected dividends and future sale price, thereby guiding prudent investment decisions.

References

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