Game Theory Situation: Biowatch Has Produced A Spike ✓ Solved

Game Theorysituation Biowatch Has Produced A Spike That Was Confirme

Game theory situation: Biowatch has produced a spike that was confirmed to be Francisella tularensis and the FBI believes that a terrorist group is planning a biological attack near the mall area in Washington D.C. It is believed that a homegrown terrorist cell is planning to utilize this select agent because the infectious dose is very low: 10-50 organisms. In this scenario, assume that there are two players—the terrorist and the defender.

1. List at least five strategies that the terrorist might use and at least five strategies that the defender might use.

2. Create a Game Theory matrix using values of 1 for a win, 0 for a loss, and 0.5 for something in between. Analyze which strategy provides the greatest potential of the U.S. achieving its goals. Explain your answer in one short, succinct paragraph.

Sample Paper For Above instruction

Strategies of the Terrorist

The terrorist's strategies could include:

1. Launching a direct biological attack against a public venue, such as a mall or transportation hub.
2. Dispersing the agent in the environment via aerosol to maximize infection spread.
3. Using covert delivery methods, such as hidden containers or drones, to evade detection before the attack.
4. Targeting specific populations or locations to maximize psychological impact and media attention.
5. Timing the attack to coincide with other major events to increase chaos and difficulty in response.

Strategies of the Defender

The defender's strategies could include:

1. Implementing vaccination or prophylaxis programs targeting high-risk populations.
2. Enhancing surveillance and detection systems to identify biological threats quickly.
3. Increasing security presence and screening at potential targets such as malls and transportation hubs.
4. Public communication campaigns to reduce panic and inform about safety protocols.
5. Deploying rapid response teams and medical interventions post-attack to contain and mitigate the impact.
6. Game Theory Matrix
7. Defender Strategy \ Terrorist Strategy Direct Attack Aerosol Dispersal Covert Delivery Targeted Attack Timing Attack Vaccination 0.3, 0.7 0.2, 0.8 0.4, 0.6 0.3, 0.7 0.2, 0.8 Surveillance & Detection 0.6, 0.4 0.5, 0.5 0.4, 0.6 0.6, 0.4 0.5, 0.5 Increased Security & Screening 0.4, 0.6 0.3, 0.7 0.3, 0.7 0.4, 0.6 0.3, 0.7 Public Communication 0.5, 0.5 0.4, 0.6 0.5, 0.5 0.5, 0.5 0.4, 0.6 Rapid Response & Medical Preparedness 0.6, 0.4 0.5, 0.5 0.5, 0.5 0.6, 0.4 0.5, 0.5
8. Analysis
9. Analyzing the matrix indicates that the defender's strategies involving enhanced surveillance and detection, as well as rapid response teams, tend to yield higher utility values (closer to 0.6) for the U.S. in terms of mitigating terrorist success. Strategies such as increasing security and screening help deter direct attacks but may not fully prevent covert dispersal methods. The highest potential for the U.S. to achieve its goal of preventing a biological attack lies in a combined approach that emphasizes early detection and rapid medical response, effectively disrupting the terrorist's plans and reducing their success rate. These strategic combinations maximize the likelihood of containment and harm mitigation in the event of an attack, thus providing the greatest potential for protecting public health and national security.
10. References

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