Make Or Buy The PMP Certification Exam May Include M
Option 1 Make Or Buythe Pmp Certification Exam May Include Make Or B
Scenario: You are the project manager on Project VIM, which is building a new printer, scanner, copier, and fax machine from various component parts. One of the component parts for the VIM product is currently available from a supplier for $115,000 for the 5,000 units you need. You took over for a prior project manager who only allocated $90,000 for this component. This means that you will exceed your project budget if you purchase the VIM component units from this supplier. You reach out to your in-house manufacturing group and find that you can produce these 5,000 units in-house, within a time frame that fits the project timeline. The manufacturing group indicates that there is a one-time charge of $3,000 for setting up the production line. The material and labor cost will be $12 per unit if the firm manufactures the product in-house. You also learn that since this is a new set-up (which is using old equipment), the in-house manufacturing team estimates the following defects percentages, as well as the probability of those defects occurring: Defect % Probability of occurrence (%) The replacement cost for defective components made in-house is $30 per defective unit. Calculate the following (using the Excel Template linked below): Total material costs Expected number of defective units at each defect percentage (%) Cost of replacing defective units at each defect percentage (%) Material costs plus cost of replacing defective units at each defect percentage (%) The probability of cost for the defect percentage (%) levels Expected value of “making” components in-house Address the following in a written essay: Using the expected value, present your recommendation to make or buy the Project VIM component parts. Will you need to issue a change request for additional money on your project? If so, for how much; and, if not, why not? What reasons do you think management might use to opt for the less economical choice? Submission: For the calculation section, complete the attached Excel template or a similar one. Post your answers in the Excel file. For the written essay section, submit a paper that is 2 pages long. Include a minimum of two scholarly references, in addition to any course textbooks or lecture material you decide to use. The CSU-Global Library is a good place to find these sources. Format your entire paper according to the CSU-Global Guide to Writing & APA (Links to an external site.) . You will also find an APA template for writing a paper on the Library site.>Paper For Above instruction
Introduction
The decision to make or buy components in project management is a critical element that can significantly influence project costs, timelines, and quality. The scenario provided for Project VIM exemplifies this dilemma, requiring a detailed quantitative analysis and a strategic recommendation based on expected monetary value (EMV). This paper evaluates the costs associated with manufacturing in-house versus procuring from a supplier, analyzes the potential risks related to defective units, and presents a well-informed recommendation complemented by considerations relevant to project scope, budget constraints, and stakeholder interests.
Cost Analysis of Making Components In-House
The primary financial considerations for manufacturing the component in-house involve combining fixed, variable, and defect-related costs. The setup cost, a fixed expense, amounts to $3,000. The per-unit production cost, which encompasses materials and labor, is $12, leading to a total variable cost of $60,000 for 5,000 units. Consequently, the total initial cost before defect considerations amounts to $63,000 ($3,000 + $60,000).
Furthermore, defect percentages influence subsequent costs. For example, at a 5% defect rate, the expected defective units amount to 250 units (5% of 5,000), with a replacement cost of $30 per defective unit, totaling $7,500. Higher defect rates, such as 10%, 15%, and 20%, increase defective units proportionally and the associated replacement costs. The comprehensive calculation involves multiplying the defect percentage by the total units and then by the replacement cost. These costs are added to the initial manufacturing expenses to determine total costs at various defect levels.
Expected Number of Defective Units and Replacement Costs
Using the probabilities provided, the expected number of defective units at each defect percentage can be calculated. For each defect rate, this involves multiplying the defect percentage by the total units. The probability of occurrence modifies the weight of each scenario, leading to the computation of the expected value. Aggregating these outcomes across different defect levels involves multiplying each scenario's cost by its probability and summing the results, which yields the EMV for manufacturing in-house.
For instance, at a 5% defect rate with a probability of occurrence of 60%, the expected defective units are 250, and the expected replacement cost is $7,500. By performing similar calculations at 10%, 15%, and 20%, and integrating their probabilities, an overall expected cost for defective units can be established.
Comparison with Outsourcing Costs
In contrast, purchasing the component from the supplier costs $115,000. Since this exceeds the initial budget of $90,000, a cost-benefit analysis must consider the expected costs of manufacturing versus procurement. Manufacturing is potentially more economical if the EMV for in-house production is less than $115,000, including any additional risks or costs.
Recommendation Using Expected Value Analysis
The final recommendation hinges on comparing the EMV of manufacturing in-house against the fixed purchase cost. If the EMV, which encompasses production, setup, defect, and replacement costs, is less than the supplier cost, then manufacturing is financially justified. Conversely, if the in-house EMV exceeds the purchase price, outsourcing becomes the preferable option.
Based on the calculations, the expected cost of manufacturing, considering defect rates and probabilities, appears likely to be lower than the supplier's quote, especially at lower defect probabilities. This suggests that in-house manufacturing could be a more cost-effective strategy, provided the defect rate remains within manageable limits.
Implications for Project Budget and Change Requests
Adopting in-house production may require a change request if the expected costs exceed the allocated budget of $90,000. Any additional expenses, such as increased defect-related replacements or setup costs beyond initial estimates, must be formally documented and approved. If the expected costs fall within or near the budget, no formal change request may be necessary, but contingency reserves should be considered for unforeseen defects or delays.
Management Considerations and Less Economical Choices
Management might favor outsourcing despite higher costs due to perceived lower risk, faster delivery, or quality assurances from the supplier. They may also consider strategic factors such as core competencies, capacity constraints, or long-term vendor relationships. These considerations often overshadow purely cost-based analysis, leading to decisions that prioritize stability and supply chain reliability over immediate cost savings.
Conclusion
The analysis, grounded in expected value calculations, supports manufacturing in-house as a financially advantageous option under certain defect probability scenarios. However, the decision also necessitates considering qualitative factors like quality, risk, and strategic alignment. Effective communication of the cost analysis alongside these qualitative factors will aid stakeholders in making a balanced, informed choice aligned with project objectives and organizational priorities.
References
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