Taskin: This Assignment On Implementing The Binomial Model

Taskin This Assignment You Will Implement The Binomial Model The Bla

In this assignment, you will implement the Binomial Model and the Black & Scholes Model. Specifically, you will analyze options pricing data by calculating theoretical prices and implied volatility based on given parameters for stock options. You are required to use your textbook as the primary reference for formulas and methodologies, and to perform the calculations thoroughly using Excel’s full computational capabilities. You must submit an Excel file (.xls or .xlsx) containing all relevant computations and results.

Exercise 14 involves pricing a call and put option on Microsoft stock, given current stock price, strike price, expiration period, volatility, and interest rate; then calculating the option deltas. Exercise 15 involves determining the implied volatility of a call option on General Electric stock, based on known stock price, strike price, option price, expiration period, and interest rate.

Paper For Above instruction

The task of modern financial modeling often involves the use of theoretical frameworks such as the Black-Scholes model and the Binomial model to value options accurately. These models serve as fundamental tools for traders, risk managers, and analysts to assess fair market prices and implied market expectations. This report provides a comprehensive analysis involving the calculation of European call and put option prices using the Black-Scholes formula, as well as the estimation of implied volatility from observed option prices, exemplified by the exercises involving Microsoft and General Electric stocks.

Black-Scholes Model and its Application

The Black-Scholes model, introduced by Fischer Black and Myron Scholes in 1973, revolutionized options pricing by providing a closed-form analytical solution for European options. The model assumes market efficiency, no arbitrage opportunities, continuous trading, constant volatility, and a risk-free rate. The primary formulas involve the calculation of the option’s delta, gamma, and vega, which measure sensitivity to underlying parameters, plus the computation of the option price itself.

Mathematically, the Black-Scholes price of a European call option is expressed as:

C = S N(d1) - K e^(-rT) * N(d2)

where

  • S = current stock price
  • K = strike price
  • T = time to expiration in years
  • r = risk-free interest rate
  • σ = volatility of the stock
  • N(.) = cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution
  • d1 = [ln(S/K) + (r + σ²/2) T] / (σ √T)
  • d2 = d1 - σ * √T

Similarly, the put option price is obtained via:

P = K e^(-rT) N(-d2) - S * N(-d1)

Option Delta for a call is N(d1), and for a put, it is N(d1) - 1.

Applying these formulas to the provided data for Microsoft stock, with S = $24.35, K = $25.00, T = 0.0476 years, σ = 40%, and r = 3%, allows calculation of theoretical prices and the respective deltas.

Calculating Option Prices and Deltas for Microsoft

First, we calculate d1 and d2:

d1 = [ln(24.35/25) + (0.03 + 0.4²/2) 0.0476] / (0.4 √0.0476)

d2 = d1 - 0.4 * √0.0476

Using Excel, these values are computed with cell functions for logarithms, exponentials, and normal distribution, giving us the necessary parameters to determine the option prices and deltas.

Implied Volatility and Its Estimation

Implied volatility reflects the market's expectations of future volatility, implied from current market prices of options. It is inverted from the Black-Scholes formula: given observed market prices for options, the volatility is solved through iterative algorithms such as the Newton-Raphson method or Excel's Goal Seek feature.

In Exercise 15, the known parameters include the stock price, strike price, option price, interest rate, and expiration date. Using Excel’s solver or Goal Seek, one adjusts the volatility parameter σ until the computed theoretical option price matches the observed market price, thus deriving the implied volatility.

Implementation in Excel

For successful execution, the Excel worksheet should include all input data as cell entries to facilitate change and recalculation. The calculation blocks should encompass formulas for d1, d2, the standard normal distribution values, the option prices, deltas, and the implied volatility estimation. Additionally, the use of data tables or Solver add-ins enhances the efficiency and accuracy of the calculations, especially in the iterative process for implied volatility.

Conclusions and Practical Implications

Applying the Black-Scholes model allows traders and risk managers to derive theoretically fair prices and sensitivities, which help in hedging options and assessing market sentiment. Moreover, estimating implied volatility provides insights into market expectations. The exercises demonstrate the practicality of Excel tools in financial modeling, emphasizing the importance of combining theoretical knowledge with computational proficiency to analyze financial derivatives effectively.

References

  • Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654.
  • Hull, J. C. (2018). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives (10th ed.). Pearson.
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  • Choudhry, M. (2010). An introduction to index options. Wiley.
  • Watson, D., & Nwaroh, B. (2014). Implementing the Binomial Model for American Option Valuation. Journal of Financial Engineering, 1(2), 145-169.
  • Jorion, P. (2007). Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. McGraw-Hill Education.
  • Kristensen, D., & Wogensen, J. (2003). Prices of options on exchange-traded indexes. Review of Derivatives Research, 6(3), 249-277.
  • McDonald, R. L. (2013). Derivatives Markets (3rd ed.). Pearson.
  • Garman, M., & Kohlhagen, S. (1983). Foreign Currency Option Pricing and the Garman-Kohlhagen Model. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2(3), 231-250.