The U.S. Census Bureau Reports Nearly Seven Billion
The Us Census Bureau Reports That There Are Nearly Seven Billion Peopl
The US Census Bureau reports that there are nearly seven billion people in the world (US Census Bureau, 2011). The increase in population size over recent decades has created, and will continue to create, environmental and public health concerns. A larger population consumes already limited resources and energy and creates more waste and pollution. A larger population also exacerbates public health issues. For example, a boost in population size can lead to an increase in rates of infectious disease, homelessness, and poverty.
Currently, different parts of the world have varying population growth rates. Population growth in more developed countries is slowing down. For example, between 2005 and 2010, women from North America had an average of only two children in their lifetime. However, population growth rates in developing countries are still quite high. Specifically, between 2005 and 2010, women from Africa had an average of 4.6 children in their lifetime (United Nations: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, 2007).
In this assignment, you will estimate future population sizes and their potential link to environmental health. Using the readings for this module, Argosy University online library resources, as well as resources from reliable academic or governmental organizations, write a paper that addresses the following: Estimate the predicted population size for the world in the year 2060. Be sure to justify your estimate as well as cite and explain the resources you used. Identify a single disease that significantly increases in prevalence when the human population increases in size. Address the following based on this information: Why is this issue likely to increase with an increasing population size?
Are there any countries in particular that will be affected by this issue more than others? What will cause this discrepancy? How are food supply and nutrition impacted by the increasing population size? When considering nutrition, do you think some countries will be more susceptible than others? Explain and support your answer.
What are governmental agencies currently doing to prevent or mitigate concerns of inadequate food supply and nutrition because of population growth? Based on your research, do you believe that these policies would change if the population growth increases dramatically by 2060? Support your statements with scholarly references and appropriate examples. Write a 2–3-page paper in Word format. Apply APA standards to citation of sources.
Paper For Above instruction
Addressing the rapid growth of the global population and its implications for environmental and public health is a critical issue for policymakers, scientists, and healthcare providers. Projecting the future population size by 2060 involves analyzing current trends, fertility rates, and demographic shifts to generate an informed estimate supported by credible sources.
Based on United Nations projections (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2007), the global population is expected to reach approximately 9.7 billion by the year 2060. This projection considers declining fertility rates in developed nations alongside higher birth rates in developing regions, particularly Africa. The UN's model incorporates current trends and demographic momentum, making 9.7 billion a reliable estimate, although uncertainties remain due to unforeseen socio-economic and health factors.
This significant increase in population will exacerbate public health challenges, notably infectious diseases. For instance, HIV/AIDS prevalence has historically increased with population density and mobility, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa (UNAIDS, 2022). Larger populations tend to facilitate the spread of communicable diseases owing to higher contact rates, limited healthcare access, and inadequate sanitation. As populations continue to grow, especially in developing nations, the burden of infectious diseases, malnutrition, and poverty is expected to rise correspondingly.
Among infectious diseases, tuberculosis (TB) presents a significant concern. TB prevalence correlates strongly with population density and compromised immune systems often found in overcrowded areas with poor nutrition. As the world's population increases, especially in densely populated regions like South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, TB incidence is likely to increase (WHO, 2021). This trend will be driven by factors such as overcrowding, limited healthcare infrastructure, and rising HIV co-infection rates, which compromise immune defenses and facilitate TB transmission.
The discrepancy in disease burden and impact among countries will stem from differences in healthcare infrastructure, economic stability, and public health policies. Wealthier nations generally possess better sanitation, healthcare, and disease control programs, allowing them to mitigate the impact of increasing disease prevalence. Conversely, low-income countries with limited healthcare resources will be disproportionately affected, experiencing higher rates of morbidity and mortality.
Food supply and nutrition will be substantially impacted by population growth, particularly in regions where resources are already strained. An increased population demands more food, putting pressure on agricultural systems and leading to overexploitation of land, water, and other natural resources (FAO, 2020). In developing countries, poverty often limits access to nutritious food, exacerbating malnutrition and stunting, especially among children (WHO, 2022). Countries with robust agricultural sectors and social safety nets, like those in developed regions, may better adapt, but even they face challenges in ensuring food security for growing populations.
Certain countries, particularly in Africa and parts of Asia, will be more susceptible to food insecurity due to their limited agricultural capacity, conflict, and economic constraints. In contrast, some developed nations may mitigate these risks through technological advancements, efficient food distribution systems, and strategic reserves. Yet, the overall global challenge remains significant, as climate change further threatens crop yields and water availability (IPCC, 2021).
Governments and international organizations are actively working to address food insecurity through policies promoting sustainable agriculture, food aid, and nutritional programs. Initiatives such as the UN's Sustainable Development Goals aim to eradicate hunger by 2030 by improving food systems and reducing waste. The World Food Programme (WFP) provides emergency food aid and resilience programs in vulnerable regions (WFP, 2023). However, should population growth accelerate dramatically by 2060, existing policies would likely need to scale up significantly and adapt to new challenges through enhanced coordination, innovation, and investment in sustainable food systems.
In conclusion, projecting a population of approximately 9.7 billion by 2060 highlights the urgent need for comprehensive strategies to address health, nutrition, and environmental concerns. The increasing prevalence of infectious diseases such as TB, disparities among regions, and food insecurity underscore the interconnectedness of population dynamics and health outcomes. Effectively responding to these challenges requires sustained international cooperation, innovative policies, and investment in health and agricultural infrastructure to ensure a sustainable future for all populations.
References
- FAO. (2020). The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2020. Food and Agriculture Organization.
- IPCC. (2021). Climate Change and Land: An IPCC Special Report. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
- United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. (2007). World population prospects: The 2006 revision—Highlights. (Working Paper No. ESA/P/WP.202). https://wpp2006.wpp.googlepages.com/WPP2006_Highlights_rev.pdf
- U.S. Census Bureau. (2011). U.S. & world population clocks. Retrieved from https://www.census.gov/popclock/
- UNAIDS. (2022). Global HIV & AIDS statistics — 2022 fact sheet. Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS.
- WHO. (2021). Global Tuberculosis Report 2021. World Health Organization.
- WHO. (2022). Malnutrition. World Health Organization.
- WFP. (2023). About the World Food Programme. World Food Programme.
- Additional scholarly references to reinforce points in the paper, emphasizing current research on population dynamics, disease prevalence, and food security.