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In this discussion, you will examine practical applications of hypothesis testing. Make sure to read the chapter on hypothesis testing before posting. Without understanding the methodology and how to write the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis, you will not be able to complete this Discussion. Successful management is about making decisions to bring about desired change. A manager who has a specific objective will execute an action, hoping that the result will be the achievement of that objective.
However, due to the multitude of factors that are in play in any real-life situation, it is difficult to tell if the desired outcome has been achieved or if the new numbers are only due to randomness. For example, a sales manager implements a bonus system and sees the sales figures go up by 3% in the next month. She claims success, but was this really due to the bonus system or could the increase be the result of random fluctuations, something that would have happened anyway? Can the manager confidently claim that there has been a significant change, something that could not be the result of random fluctuations? Another example may be where HR is worried there may be a difference between the salaries of men versus women that may need to be corrected.
Is the difference between average salaries of the two genders significant, or could it be due to coincidence? Can someone claim there is discrimination at work? Hypothesis testing settles such questions by analyzing statistical data and is key to managing intelligently. Without these answers, you cannot be sure if the actions you are taking are working out or whether things really are the way you think they are. If you do not know these, how can you know what to do?
For this discussion, describe a key question or claim that may drive important actions from your work, as in the examples above. Follow the template below and answer all questions (using the template below is part of the requirements- you will lose points if you don’t follow the template and skip portions of what is being asked): Describe the key question: What is the key question/claim that needs to be settled? What are the actions being considered based on the possible answers? (For example, the question for the sales manager is whether the bonus system is effective, and the actions are whether to continue the bonus system or not. HR’s question is whether there is discrimination and the action will be adjusting salaries or not.) Without hypothesis testing, how is management deciding on the answer to the question?
What is the variable? How would you set up the hypothesis test? First, pick an appropriate variable to measure the element in question (Note that this must be specific and measurable (countable)). Then, state what the null and alternative hypotheses would be and what kind of a test you would use. Describe the data you would use: What do you need and where would it come from?
Does it need to be collected or does it already exist? How would you explain to management the significance of this test? How would you convince them that using this is necessary? What would be the drawback of not using a hypothesis test in this situation?
Paper For Above Instructions
In the context of effective management, understanding whether a certain action or policy produces the desired outcome is critical. Hypothesis testing serves as a statistical method to determine the validity of observed changes due to specific actions taken within an organization. The following discussion focuses on a critical question that may arise in a corporate setting, its associated actions, and the implementation of a hypothesis test to evaluate its effectiveness.
Key Question and Claims:
A fundamental question that frequently arises in businesses pertains to employee productivity after the introduction of flexible working hours. The key question to be settled could be framed as: “Do flexible working hours lead to increased employee productivity?” The claim is that by allowing employees to have flexible working hours, their productivity will increase due to improved work-life balance. Actions being considered based on this question would include the continuation or expansion of the flexible working hour policy versus reverting to a traditional work schedule.
Without hypothesis testing, management may rely on anecdotal evidence or subjective assessments to decide on the effectiveness of the flexible hours. This could include employee feedback or anecdotal observations of productivity; however, these methods lack the rigor and objectivity provided by statistical analysis.
Variable:
The variable in this case is “employee productivity,” which can be measured through quantitative metrics such as the number of tasks completed, output quality, or sales figures over a defined period. It is crucial to ensure that the selected variable is specific, measurable, and capable of being objectively assessed.
Setting Up the Hypothesis Test:
To conduct a hypothesis test, the null hypothesis (H0) would state that flexible working hours do not lead to increased productivity (i.e., mean productivity rates of employees on flexible hours = mean productivity rates of employees on traditional hours). Conversely, the alternative hypothesis (H1) would assert that flexible working hours lead to increased productivity (i.e., mean productivity rates of employees on flexible hours > mean productivity rates of employees on traditional hours).
A suitable statistical test for this scenario would be a t-test for comparing two independent means if the productivity data is normally distributed. This test evaluates whether the mean productivity from employees under flexible hours significantly differs from that of those under traditional hours.
Data Requirements:
The data required to conduct the hypothesis test includes pre- and post-implementation productivity metrics of employees with both flexible and traditional work schedules. Historical productivity data may need to be collected before the introduction of flexible hours, and further data must be gathered post-implementation to provide a clear comparison. This data can be sourced from company performance reports, sales figures, and self-reported productivity scores from employees.
Significance of the Test:
To explain the significance of this test to management, I would emphasize that relying on statistical methods such as hypothesis testing removes subjectivity and helps make informed decisions based on empirical evidence. By showcasing how this test can validate or refute the effectiveness of flexible working hours, management can be convinced of its necessity. It instills confidence in decision-making, ultimately leading to better resource allocation and policy formation.
Drawbacks of Not Using a Hypothesis Test:
If a hypothesis test is not employed, management risks making decisions based on insufficient evidence, which could lead to misguided strategies. For instance, if productivity claims are based solely on beliefs or observations without data backing, the company may continue an ineffective policy or eliminate a beneficial one. This could ultimately hinder employee morale and productivity. Moreover, decisions lacking statistical validation may expose the organization to risks of bias and misallocation of resources.
In conclusion, implementing a hypothesis test can effectively illuminate the relationship between flexible working hours and productivity, enabling management to make data-driven decisions.
References
- Hinkle, D. E., Wiersma, W., & Jurs, S. G. (2003). Applied Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. Houghton Mifflin.
- Ferguson, G. A., & Takane, Y. (1989). Statistical Analysis in Psychology and Education. McGraw-Hill.
- Field, A. (2013). Discovering Statistics Using IBM SPSS Statistics. SAGE Publications.
- Lehmann, E. L., & Casella, G. (1998). Theory of Point Estimation. Springer.
- Montgomery, D. C. (2019). Design and Analysis of Experiments. Wiley.
- Urdan, T. C. (2005). Statistics in Plain English. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
- Trochim, W. M. K., & Donnelly, J. P. (2007). The Research Methods Knowledge Base. Cengage Learning.
- Siegel, A. F. (2006). Practical Business Statistics. Academic Press.
- Ruxton, G. D., & Neuhäuser, M. (2010). When Should We Use One-tailed Hypothesis Tests? Methods in Ecology and Evolution.
- Levine, M. (2013). Business Statistics: A First Course. Pearson.